Market OverviewFinlify
Price Date: 2026/06/15
MPC logo

MPC - Marathon Petroleum Corporation

The largest US oil refinery operator, processing crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel — a pure-play downstream energy company benefiting from refining margin volatility.

HOLDRelative StrengthCurrent data is neutral to constructive, without a near-BUY setup yet.
BEATBEAT compares latest EPS results against analyst estimates.

Finlify Score

52.3 / 100

Data Quality

FULL

Penalty

0.0

Sector

Energy

Close Price

$250.86

-4.83%

52W Range

$158.00 - $272.46

Market Cap

$72.6B

-4.8%

Compared to previous day

2026 Q1 Revenue

$34.2B

+5.0%

Changes from last reporting quarter

2026 Q1 EPS

$1.73

Diluted shares

Analyst Rating

15 Buy9 Hold1 Sell

25 analysts in latest ratings feed

RSI

52.1

40-70 moderate

2Y Range Position

86%

-7.9% from high / +117.9% from low

Beta

0.53

Relative to market benchmark

MACD

-1.18

MACD line 3.96 / signal line 5.14

Fundamental Trend

Growth 53.9
Revenue QoQ+5.0%
Revenue YoY+8.5%
EPS QoQ-65.9%
EPS YoY+820.8%
Gross margin QoQ-
Operating margin QoQ-4.2%
Net margin QoQ-3.2%

Financial Health

Quality 40.3
Debt / equity-
Debt ratio-
Cash / debt proxy-
Cash / assets+2.4%

Data Quality

FULL
As of date2026-06-15
Latest statement2026-03-31
Penalty0.0
Missing dataNone

Valuation Reference

P/E19.06x
P/B2.82x
P/S0.57x
EV / EBITDA22.62x

Price Chart

Close price, two-year source window

Finlify Score

HOLD

52.3 / 100

Relative Strength76.9 / 100
Accumulation & Volume16.4 / 100
Fundamental Trend53.9 / 100
Financial Quality40.3 / 100
Data Quality FULLNo penalty

Score History

Finlify Score and component trend

Financial Statements

Calendar year view. Figures are estimates only. For official figures, refer to the company website.

2026 Q12025 Q42025 Q32025 Q2
Revenue$34.2B+5.0%$32.6B-6.4%$34.8B+3.0%$33.8B+7.2%
Gross Profit----
Operating Income$1.4B-47.9%$2.7B-0.7%$2.7B+23.5%$2.2B+219.8%
Net Income$511M-66.7%$1.5B+12.0%$1.4B+12.7%$1.2B+1743.2%

Columns use the calendar quarter of each reported period end date. QoQ is shown for adjacent company reporting quarters only.

AI Signal

Generated Jun 16, 2026

The Finlify signal for MPC is "HOLD" with a Finlify Score of 53.4/100, suggesting a balanced outlook where various factors may offset each other. This stance appears to be influenced by a mix of strong relative strength and moderate fundamental trends, alongside lower accumulation and financial quality scores.

Technical

Technically, MPC exhibits a strong Relative Strength score of 79.8/100, which may indicate robust performance compared to peers. The asset has shown positive short-term momentum with a 20-day return of 5.9% and a 60-day return of 11.6%. The RSI(14) at 57.3 suggests it is not currently overbought or oversold, while its distance from the 52-week high is a modest -1.4%, indicating it is trading near recent peaks. However, a lower Accumulation / Volume score of 17.2/100 might suggest less intense buying pressure.

Fundamentals

From a fundamental perspective, the Fundamental Trend score is moderate at 53.9/100, while the Financial Quality score appears lower at 40.3/100, which could suggest areas for improvement in financial health or efficiency. Valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 19.1x, a P/B ratio of 2.8x, and a P/S ratio of 0.6x. The asset also offers a Dividend Yield of 1.53% and exhibits a relatively low Beta of 0.5, which may indicate lower volatility compared to the broader market. The latest financial period reported was 2026-03-31, and the company recently beat earnings expectations.

Macro Context

The broader macro environment, characterized by an elevated CPI YoY of 4.3% and Core PCE YoY of 3.3%, suggests persistent inflationary pressures. While energy companies like MPC can sometimes benefit from higher commodity prices in such an environment, these conditions, alongside a 10Y Treasury Yield of 4.5% and 2Y Treasury Yield of 4.0%, may also influence operational costs and overall economic demand for energy products. The unemployment rate stands at 4.3%, and the yield spread (10Y-2Y) is 0.4%.

Key Risks

  • The Accumulation / Volume score of 17.2/100 appears relatively low, which may suggest a lack of strong buying conviction despite recent positive price performance.
  • A Financial Quality score of 40.3/100 indicates potential concerns regarding the company's financial health, efficiency, or stability.
  • While energy companies can benefit from inflation, the elevated CPI YoY of 4.3% and Core PCE YoY of 3.3% could also lead to increased operational costs or potential shifts in demand.